AI Predicts Newcastle United v Chelsea in the Premier League - and who takes Champions League initiative

Like it or loathe it, we live a world where AI - or artificial intelligence - is creeping into every corner of society. Long gone are the days of predictive text or autocorrect being your only daily dalliance with an industry that was formerly resigned to the big screen or fiction. Now, it’s in everything, and can do virtually everything, too - including, it seems, predict Premier League football results.

So, we asked X’s own AI, Grok, to get its crystal ball out and predict what would happen as Newcastle United take on Chelsea in the Premier League. The clash at St James’ Park has real cup final feel to it. If the Magpies win, you’d have to say they’re well and truly in the Champions League driving seat, three points ahead of the Blues with just two games to go. And similarly, if Enzo Maresca’s men walk away with all three points it would be a huge dent in the Magpies’ chances, with a trip to Arsenal next up. So, with all of that in mind, here’s what it said.

Newcastle United v Chelsea: Form and context

On the hosts, Grok says: “Currently 4th in the Premier League, Newcastle have been strong at home, averaging 2.06 points per game at St. James’ Park. They score an average of 2.24 goals per home game but concede 1.12. Their recent form includes a draw against Brighton, with Alexander Isak’s late penalty securing a point. However, they face injury concerns, with Lewis Hall, Matt Targett, Jamaal Lascelles, and Joelinton ruled out. Key players like Isak and Harvey Barnes (3 goals this season) will be crucial. Newcastle’s intensity at home and motivation to secure a Champions League spot make them formidable.”

On Chelsea, it adds: “Sitting 5th, Chelsea have been in good form, winning three of their last five competitive games against Newcastle, though they lost 2-0 in the EFL Cup at St. James’ Park in October 2024. They average 1.47 points per away game and score 2.12 goals per match overall. Their recent 3-1 win over Liverpool showed their attacking prowess, led by Cole Palmer (6 goals this season) and Nicolas Jackson. However, injuries to Wesley Fofana and Christopher Nkunku, as well as the absence of Mykhailo Mudryk could impact their squad depth.”

Newcastle United v Chelsea: Head-to-head

It says: “In the 36 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 19, Newcastle 10, with 7 draws. Matches average 2.78 goals, with both teams scoring (BTTS) in 47% of games. Newcastle’s 2-0 EFL Cup win this season shows they can exploit Chelsea at home, but Chelsea’s 2-1 Premier League win at Stamford Bridge in October 2024 highlights their edge in recent encounters.

“St. James’ Park is a fortress, and Newcastle’s physical, high-intensity style under Eddie Howe could challenge Chelsea’s defense, which has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five games.

“Chelsea’s Attacking Depth: Despite injuries, Chelsea’s attacking options, including Palmer and Jackson, are potent. Their ability to score consistently (17 goals in their last 6 home games) suggests they’ll test Newcastle’s backline.”

Newcastle United v Chelsea: Betting tips

After analysing all likely outcomes, AI has come up with these three possible best bets for the encounter.

It is certain Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is likely ‘based on 47% H2H BTTS rate and Chelsea’s scoring consistency’. It also thinks Over 2.5 Goals is a shout due to ‘67.86% of Chelsea’s away games and 65.38% of Newcastle’s home games this season have seen over 2.5 goals’. And finally, Alexander Isak to score is its other shout - nowt new there, mind.

Newcastle United v Chelsea: Prediction

It says: “Considering Newcastle’s strong home record and Chelsea’s injury concerns, a closely contested match is likely. Newcastle’s physicality and Isak’s form could exploit Chelsea’s defensive vulnerabilities, but Chelsea’s attacking quality, led by Palmer, should ensure they score. Historical data suggests a high chance of both teams scoring, with BTTS occurring in 47% of their meetings. A 2-1 Newcastle win is plausible, aligning with their home scoring average and Chelsea’s tendency to concede away. However, a draw remains a strong possibility given the stakes and recent H2H trends.”

Final Prediction: Newcastle United 2-1 Chelsea