Big change predicted in Newcastle United, Man United and Liverpool’s Champions League chase

How the race for Champions League qualification between Newcastle, Manchester United and Liverpool is predicted to play out.
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The race for Champions League qualification between Newcastle United, Manchester United and Liverpool is threatening to go down to the wire.

Following Saturday afternoon’s 2-2 draw at Leeds United, Eddie Howe’s side know two wins from their remaining three games will guarantee a first Premier League top four finish in 20 years.

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However, fifth-place Liverpool aren’t allowing the Magpies or Manchester United an easy ride. A win for Jurgen Klopp’s side at Leicester City tonight will see them close the gap to just one point, although will have played a fixture more.

Here, NewcastleWorld takes a look at each club’s remaining fixtures and uses data from FiveThirtyEight to determine their final predicted points total.

Newcastle United's English striker Callum Wilson celebrates with Newcastle United's Swiss defender Fabian Schar (R) after scoring a penalty during the English Premier League football match between Leeds United and Newcastle United at Elland Road in Leeds, northern England, on May 13, 2023. (Photo by Lindsey Parnaby / AFP) Newcastle United's English striker Callum Wilson celebrates with Newcastle United's Swiss defender Fabian Schar (R) after scoring a penalty during the English Premier League football match between Leeds United and Newcastle United at Elland Road in Leeds, northern England, on May 13, 2023. (Photo by Lindsey Parnaby / AFP)
Newcastle United's English striker Callum Wilson celebrates with Newcastle United's Swiss defender Fabian Schar (R) after scoring a penalty during the English Premier League football match between Leeds United and Newcastle United at Elland Road in Leeds, northern England, on May 13, 2023. (Photo by Lindsey Parnaby / AFP)

Remaining fixtures

Newcastle United (3rd) - 66 points, +32 goal difference

Remaining fixtures: Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 18/05, Leicester City (H) 22/05, Chelsea (A) 28/05.

Average current league position of opposition: 12. Maximum possible points total: 75

Manchester United (4th) - 66 points, +10 goal difference

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Remaining fixtures: Bournemouth (A) 20/05, Chelsea (H) 25/10, Fulham (H) 28/05.

Average current league position of opposition: 11.3. Maximum possible points total: 75

Liverpool (5th) - 62 points, +25 goal difference

Remaining fixtures: Leicester City (A) 15/05, Aston Villa (H) 20/05, Southampton (A) 28/05.

Average current league position of opposition: 15.3. Maximum possible points total: 71

Brighton and Hove Albion (6th) - 58 points, +21 goal difference

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Remaining fixtures: Newcastle United (A) 18/05, Southampton (H) 21/05, Manchester City (H) 24/05, Aston Villa (A) 28/05.

Average current league position of opposition: 6.6. Maximum possible points total: 70

Final Premier League table predicted

While Newcastle are predicted to claim five points from their remaining three games and end their long absence from Europe’s elite, Manchester United are tipped to finish above Howe’s men.

1st: Manchester City - 91 points

2nd: Arsenal - 85 points

3rd: Manchester United - 72 points

4th: Newcastle United - 71 points

5th: Liverpool - 68 points

6th: Brighton & Hove Albion - 64 points

7th: Tottenham Hotspur - 60 points

8th: Aston Villa - 59 points

9th: Brentford - 55 points

10th: Fulham - 53 points

11th: Crystal Palace - 46 points

12th: Chelsea - 46 points

12th: Wolverhampton Wanderers - 42 points

14th: Bournemouth - 41 points

15th: West Ham United - 40 points

16th: Nottingham Forest - 35 points

17th: Everton - 35 points

18th: Leeds United - 33 points

19th: Leicester City - 33 points

20th: Southampton - 25 points

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