Big change predicted in Newcastle United, Man United and Liverpool’s Champions League chase
How the race for Champions League qualification between Newcastle, Manchester United and Liverpool is predicted to play out.
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The race for Champions League qualification between Newcastle United, Manchester United and Liverpool is threatening to go down to the wire.
Following Saturday afternoon’s 2-2 draw at Leeds United, Eddie Howe’s side know two wins from their remaining three games will guarantee a first Premier League top four finish in 20 years.
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However, fifth-place Liverpool aren’t allowing the Magpies or Manchester United an easy ride. A win for Jurgen Klopp’s side at Leicester City tonight will see them close the gap to just one point, although will have played a fixture more.
Here, NewcastleWorld takes a look at each club’s remaining fixtures and uses data from FiveThirtyEight to determine their final predicted points total.


Remaining fixtures
Newcastle United (3rd) - 66 points, +32 goal difference
Remaining fixtures: Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 18/05, Leicester City (H) 22/05, Chelsea (A) 28/05.
Average current league position of opposition: 12. Maximum possible points total: 75
Manchester United (4th) - 66 points, +10 goal difference
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Remaining fixtures: Bournemouth (A) 20/05, Chelsea (H) 25/10, Fulham (H) 28/05.
Average current league position of opposition: 11.3. Maximum possible points total: 75
Liverpool (5th) - 62 points, +25 goal difference
Remaining fixtures: Leicester City (A) 15/05, Aston Villa (H) 20/05, Southampton (A) 28/05.
Average current league position of opposition: 15.3. Maximum possible points total: 71
Brighton and Hove Albion (6th) - 58 points, +21 goal difference
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Remaining fixtures: Newcastle United (A) 18/05, Southampton (H) 21/05, Manchester City (H) 24/05, Aston Villa (A) 28/05.
Average current league position of opposition: 6.6. Maximum possible points total: 70
Final Premier League table predicted
While Newcastle are predicted to claim five points from their remaining three games and end their long absence from Europe’s elite, Manchester United are tipped to finish above Howe’s men.
1st: Manchester City - 91 points
2nd: Arsenal - 85 points
3rd: Manchester United - 72 points
4th: Newcastle United - 71 points
5th: Liverpool - 68 points
6th: Brighton & Hove Albion - 64 points
7th: Tottenham Hotspur - 60 points
8th: Aston Villa - 59 points
9th: Brentford - 55 points
10th: Fulham - 53 points
11th: Crystal Palace - 46 points
12th: Chelsea - 46 points
12th: Wolverhampton Wanderers - 42 points
14th: Bournemouth - 41 points
15th: West Ham United - 40 points
16th: Nottingham Forest - 35 points
17th: Everton - 35 points
18th: Leeds United - 33 points
19th: Leicester City - 33 points
20th: Southampton - 25 points
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